Jonas Jerebko - Star or Role player?

I’ll go with rolestar.

Jonas will become the first player ever to win two MVP awards in a single season.

Also, he will win both Eastern Conference and Western Conference Player of the Week for January 16-22, 2011.

JJ was a complete unknown and got by with just the left over shots for the majority of last year. Now towards the end of the year he started making plays not only for himself, but also for others, however I would argue it’s easy to make noise when you’re first coming onto the scene as a side show. Unlike Dirk, who was a fairly high profile player when he came to the league, JJ was able to slide under the radar and was given a lot of open shots initially.

If we’re just looking at first impressions, then Stuckey should be just as good as Derrick Rose and Brennan Boesch is a left handed Pujols. Now the arguement could be made that Stuckey didn’t put up the numbers while JJ has, but I would still say you have to wait to see how the defense adjusts before you can make any “stardom” claims.

Stuckey simply has not adjusted well to the opposition, whereas Chauncey eventually did adjust very well but got off to a terrible start to his career. Every player is different in this category, and so I personally think that we have to wait at least 1 more season before we can fairly judge his NBA statistics.

With that being said, I still think that it’s ludicrous to call him the next Dirk. Dirk is simply one of the best players to ever play the game. He’s consistently been a dominant scorer as a big man, nearly leading a team to a title (he was unbelieveable against Tim Duncan in those playoffs) and setting a record for win streak percentage the following year. However I think David West comparisons are within reason. Their usage rates are nearly identical and West wasn’t that high profile of a player when he came into the league either. Both are versatile scorers but don’t really have much in the way of post moves. On the flipside, JJ is a better perimeter player (in terms of mobility) while West has a better frame to play in the post.

In the end, I feel that whatever he becomes, be it a stud role player or just a straight up stud, he has a very strong chance of making a big impact on a championship caliber squad – which is all that really matters.

…when Jonas Jerebko has won 15 MVPs and 8 championships (in a single season!), and FIBA+NBA officials rename the sport Jerebko-ball, we will fondly remember this FanPost.

If he was the Swedish Dennis Rodman.

Bynum – Chris Paul
Stuckey – Wade
Daye – Durant
Jerebko – Dirk (with a great defense)
Monroe – Duncan

Honestly, that doesn’t look like a 29th best team in the league

WP48 (wins produced per 48 minutes) is the per minute derivative of Wins Produced. Players who rate at .200 WP48 or higher tend to be considered “stars” and .300 or higher tends to be “superstar” (not that those terms are clearly defined, though).

Last year, Ben Wallace was a “star” player, judging by that metric (.244). Jonas rated as a .122, which is excellent for a rookie. Rookies tend to improve with time; however, Jonas is a bit older than a lot of other rookies, and he has more experience. So it’s not clear how much he will or won’t improve. Time will tell.

I think it’s possible that he achieves a .200 WP48, but there are several things that I think will impact that greatly. First is position. I tend to think JJ’s a full-time SF, part-time/situational PF. Judging by WP48, Jonas compares more favorably to SFs than PFs. Second, is offensive system and teammates. While I’d never expect Jonas to be the go to guy on offense who gets the ball to create his own shot in crunch time, I do see him as a guy who is very smart, moves well without the ball, and positions himself well. In an offensive system that prioritizes ball and player movement, I think he could thrive.

In short, I think his ceiling is probably more Troy Murphy than Dirk, but that in itself is an enormous complement to someone who was basically an unknown second rounder.

Really looking forward to see how much he has improved this off-season. Hopefully he’s saved some of his Sweden performances for some games this year.