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In the book Stumbling on Wins, Professor David Berri cited research he had done in which he...

In the book Stumbling on Wins, Professor David Berri cited research he had done in which he attempted to identify the college box score statistics (and extrinsic factors) that might suggest a certain prospect will be a productive NBA player.

He found that most of the traditional box score statistics had no statistical significance, except three: 2pt%, Steals, and Rebounds. I computed the positional averages for each of this year’s prospects in those three categories, plus True Shooting Percentage, and Win Score per 40 minutes.

Brandon Knight (PG/SG)

WS40 TS% 2pt% Reb40 Stls40
Average 7.38 57.3 49.3 4.9 1.6
Knight 4.71 55.1 46.1 4.5 0.7

Kyle Singler (PF/SF)

WS40 TS% 2pt% Reb40 Stls40
12.56 58.8 56.1 11.1 1.2
7.51 54.1 49.7 7.5 0.9

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