So, the second preseason game is tonight. It's against the same team we faced Wednesday that we only beat by two points. We're likely to see different lineups tonight so we may see quite a different result. Unless I've missed it, I haven't seen a poll asking how many games the users think the Pistons will win this season. Tonight's game, along with Wednesday's, probably won't be enough to get a good judge on how we'll fair in the regular season, but that's the fun of it.
It's probably been stated before, possibly many times, but if you were to have expanded our season to an 82 game season last year, our win percentage says we would have finished along the lines of 31-51. Well, that's debatable. We started out 4-20 after the fastest start to the season (most games in shortest amount of time) with a rookie PG, new coach (staff and offensive/defensive schemes) and then we went 21-21 down the stretch. Now, some teams were more than likely tanking, but that tends to happen during any season. Now, if we played .500 ball after a 4-20 start during an 82 game season, we would have finished 33-49.
Another thing to consider when making your guesstimates, the Pistons have improved their record from the previous each of the last two years. In 2009-10 the Pistons had an abysmal year going 27-55 for a win percentage of .329. In 2010-11, the Pistons improved to finish 30-52 for a win percentage of .366. In 2011-12, the Pistons improved to finish 25-41 for a win percentage of .379. Now, what could explain these improvements in our record?
Well, first off, under Kuester we just plain sucked. Injuries, mutinies, Gordon, Kuester, and many other things just put this team in the can. Therefore, I'd attribute the better records to playing better basketball and beating teams we should already have been able to beat. As tough as this league is becoming with more and more young, talented athletes, that isn't becoming any easier. As for increase from 2010-11 to 2011-12, even with the shortened season, the rookie PG, new coach (staff and offensive/defensive schemes), Gordon, and other issues, I think there was finally a sense of chemistry. Tom Gores' putting money into the practice facility, locker rooms and other aspects of their daily lives may have had some part to do with it as well.
So what will happen this year? Will a full offseason, a full training camp, the same (and competent) head coach and staff, a younger team more ready to run, younger, bigger, more athletic bigs to help defend the paint raise our win total? If so, to where? Or will the youth movement have too many road bumps at first, the ineptitude of players like Daye, Villanueva and Prince, a lack of player movement through trades and other factors keep the Pistons at about the same win percentage or worse? If so, how badly? Feel free to put your comments below explaining how many games you chose and why you did so. Other things I would like people to hear would be things like (all regarding the Pistons):
- What will be the most points scored in a game this year?
- What will be the fewest points scored in a game this year?
- What will be the longest winning streak this year?
- What will be the longest losing streak this year?
- What team do you think the Pistons will beat at least once that most think they should lose?
- Who will have the highest scoring game this year?
- Who will have the highest assists in a game this year?
- Who will have the highest rebounds in a game this year?
- Who will lead the team in PPG this season?
- Who will lead the team in RPG this season?
- Who will lead the team in APG this year?
- What will be the max blocks Drummond has in a game this year?
- What will be the max blocks Kravtsov has in a game this year?
- How many double-doubles will Monroe have this year?
- Will the Pistons have a winning home record this year?
- Will the Pistons have a winning road record this year?
Have fun with it!!!
P.S. - I set the ceiling at 60 wins because I am very confident that we definitely won't get near 60 wins. I MAY be the most optimistic person on this board, so I doubt many will put more than 40 wins, but I wanted to allow people to put their true guesses (even if they are insane).