December Projection

Chuck Daly used to project the team's wins and losses each month. There were games that he thought his team should win, but he also conceded some losses. Back-to-back games, home versus away, and specific player match ups were all part of the rationale. I really liked getting this insight though, and having a record to compare the team to relative to some level of expectation.

In this vein of thought, I've prepared a projection for the rest of the month. Intuition, hope, and probably some prejudice are used to make this projection, but I thought I'd put it out there and let others consider it:

December Schedule and Expectations

Dec 1 at Dallas, expected a loss, lost 92-77, Record 5-13

Dec 2 vs Cleveland, expected win, won 89-79, Record 6-13

Dec 5 vs Golden State, expect win, Record 7-13 – at home; gaining momentum at home; defense rules

Dec 7 vs Chicago, expect win, Record 8-13 – Bulls overall superior team, but we are at home...

Dec 8 at Cleveland, expect win, Record 9-13 – tougher to win but our back court rules!

Dec 10 at Phoenix, expect win, Record 10-13 – expect Suns to want revenge, but Pistons meet the challenge

Dec 11 vs Denver, expect loss, Record 10-14 – close, but I sense weariness and give the edge to Nuggets for now

Dec 14 at Brooklyn, expect win, Record 11-14 – Surprise! Nets didn't expect us to show up and play this hard

Dec 15 vs Indianapolis, expect loss, Record 11-15 – close but Pacers SF goes crazy on us

Dec 17 vs LA Clippers, expect loss, Record 11-16 – another close one, but Billups wins it

Dec 19 at Toronto, expect win, Record 12-16 – time to get back on track, AD starts and has big game!

Dec 21 vs Washington, expect win, Record 13-16 – Piston are better team, being at home helps too

Dec 22 at Washington, expect win, Record 14-16 – Pistons edge them in a really close one, Stuckey wins it

Dec 26 at Atlanta, expect loss, Record 14-17 – away games still tough to win

Dec 28 vs Miami, expect loss, Record 14-18 – we’re not to this level yet, but Heat also come prepared to play

Dec 30 vs Milwaukee, expect loss Record 14-19 – close one we could pull out, but Bucks hang on

9-7 for the month. Too optimistic? Not optimistic enough? What do you think?

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