FanPost

Pistons Payroll Analysis (updated)

Siphoned off a concept from Xstream's fanspost I've broken down the value system in monetary terms here. Teams spent a total of $2,016,556,806 in payroll last season, which equates to $1.64 million per win, or win share since win shares correlate to wins.

The Pistons won 29 games. 29 wins would've cost $47.5 million last season, yet the Pistons payroll was $69 million last season. They overpaid for their roster by $21.5 million. $69 million should've bought 42 wins.

Granted these numbers are all screwy because so many teams are over the cap, and some by ridiculous amounts like the Lakers, Heat, Nets, and Knicks. Under the current payroll structure the Heat should have had to pay $109 million for their 66 wins, yet they came in at $84 million, still well over the cap. But they severely underpaid their players because the NBA has this thing called a max salary that allows teams that sign the right player to the max to get wins above what they paid for them. Lebron's 19.3 win shares alone should've cost them $31 million. It's good to have the best player in the NBA when there is a max salary.

A .500 team would cost $67.5 million. Payroll analysis is essentially impossible with a max player salary.

Let's try this a different way, how much did teams pay for their wins:

Team Payroll Wins Cost per win
Orlando Magic $67,284,905 20 $3,364,245
Charlotte Bobcats $57,423,670 21 $2,734,460
Detroit Pistons $69,050,344 29 $2,381,046
New Orleans Hornets $64,228,249 27 $2,378,824
Cleveland Cavaliers $56,431,198 24 $2,351,300
Los Angeles Lakers $100,208,957 45 $2,226,866
Phoenix Suns $53,732,694 25 $2,149,308
Washington Wizards $59,349,056 29 $2,046,519
Minnesota Timberwolves $62,784,334 31 $2,025,301
Toronto Raptors $67,533,145 34 $1,986,269
Philadelphia 76ers $65,893,628 34 $1,938,048
Sacramento Kings $53,563,817 28 $1,912,993
Boston Celtics $72,183,530 41 $1,760,574
Portland Trail Blazers $57,933,149 33 $1,755,550
Brooklyn Nets $84,357,161 49 $1,721,575
Chicago Bulls $75,628,955 45 $1,680,643
Milwaukee Bucks $62,531,497 38 $1,645,566
Utah Jazz $67,176,515 43 $1,562,245
Dallas Mavericks $62,529,197 41 $1,525,102
Atlanta Hawks $66,940,287 44 $1,521,370
New York Knicks $80,341,621 54 $1,487,808
Golden State Warriors $69,712,825 47 $1,483,252
Indiana Pacers $66,762,138 49 $1,362,493
Miami Heat $83,827,163 66 $1,270,109
Los Angeles Clippers $70,219,085 56 $1,253,912
Houston Rockets $55,314,993 45 $1,229,222
San Antonio Spurs $69,574,186 58 $1,199,555
Oklahoma City Thunder $67,555,731 60 $1,125,929
Denver Nuggets $63,970,222 57 $1,122,285
Memphis Grizzlies $62,514,554 56 $1,116,331
NBA $2,016,556,806 1229 $1,640,811

There were 1229 wins last season as the Pacers/Celtics game was never made up, so each of those teams played 81 games a piece. Also, losing costs a lot of money.

Now for the roster breakdown:

Player WS Salary eSalary Over/Under
Greg Monroe 5.9 $3,217,680 $9,680,785 $6,463,105
Andre Drummond 4.5 $2,356,320 $7,383,650 $5,027,330
Kyle Singler 2.3 $1,000,000 $3,773,865 $2,773,865
Jose Calderon 7.4 $11,046,591 $12,142,001 $1,095,410
Khris Middleton 0.9 $473,604 $1,476,730 $1,003,126
Kim English 0.2 $473,604 $328,162 -$145,442
Austin Daye 1.7 $2,958,077 $2,789,379 -$168,698
Will Bynum 1.7 $3,250,000 $2,789,379 -$460,621
Vlacheslav Kravtsov 0.4 $1,500,000 $656,324 -$843,676
Brandon Knight 1.1 $2,678,640 $1,804,892 -$873,748
Tayshaun Prince 3.5 $6,764,045 $5,742,839 -$1,021,207
Jonas Jerebko 2 $4,500,000 $3,281,622 -$1,218,378
Jason Maxiell 1.8 $5,000,000 $2,953,460 -$2,046,540
Rodney Stuckey 2.5 $8,500,000 $4,102,028 -$4,397,973
Charlie Villanueva 1.6 $8,060,000 $2,625,298 -$5,434,702
Richard Hamilton 0 $6,069,767 $0 -$6,069,767
Corey Maggette 0.1 $10,924,138 $164,081 -$10,760,057

As expected the biggest losses on the Pistons came from Stuckey, Villanueva, Hamilton, and Maggette. Only 5 players out-produced their pay. If you take away the $17 million sacrificed on Rip and Maggette you have a $52 million payroll, which lines up much closer to the league average on a per win level.

So there you have it. Monroe isn't a max player, as of now. Drummond probably is, but he didn't play enough to earn the win shares for this analysis to show that. Anything less than $10 mil per season to bring back Calderon is a win.

FanPosts are user-created posts from the Detroit Bad Boys community and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of all fans or the staff at DBB. The DBB staff reserves the right at any time to edit the contents of FanPosts as they reasonably see fit.

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