FanPost

Ron MarsHall's 2015 Pistons Offseason Plan Project

I'm using CTBAAF's base as the starting point because he has all that cap hold goodness in it. I'm going to assume his numbers are right.

So,

Editors note: One small thing that was left off the original post is counting for minimum player cap holds. Each counts for $507,336. You must have 12 slots filled at all times.

So if we assume that our players are:

Brandon Jennings- $8,344,497
Jodie Meeks - $6,270,000
(Josh Smith Stretch - $5,400,000)
Andre Drummond - $3,272,091
Anthony Tolliver - $3,000,000
K. Caldwell-Pope - $2,891,760
Quincy Miller - $981,348 (guaranteed until July 11)
Spencer Dinwiddie - $845,059
(Aaron Gray Stretch - $452,049)

If we only have those seven players, plus the first round cap hold of $2,368,300, plus the QO for Reggie of $5,510,922 we would need to add 3 additional minimum player cap holds for a total of $40,858,034

That would give us this lineup - PG: Reggie/Jennings/Dinwiddie SG: KCP/Meeks SF: Miller PF: Tolliver C:Drummond

I agree that Martin will probably pick up his option by all accounts that I've read so remove $507,336 from the total and add $1,270,964. New total of $41,621,662, leaving $25,378,338 to spend (assuming 67 million cap).

Here's where shit gets real.

Not that I'd ever be one to accept Chad Ford prognostications out of hand, it makes sense to me that the teams he suggested want to make trades of their draft picks actually do (or should). It also makes sense that the Celtics would want to trade up and the Nuggets players want a trade out.

That said, "We have a trade ..."

Boston receives

  • PG Ty Lawson
  • #5 2015 draft pick (Orlando)
  • SF Caron Butler (non-guaranteed contract)
  • SF Shawne Williams (non-guaranteed contract)

Denver receives

[Note: Tayshaun Prince is only included to make the Trade Machine work; in actuality, his contract will be renounced, which has no bearing on this trade.]

  • #8 pick, 2015 draft (Detroit)
  • C Kelly Olynyk
  • PG Brandon Jennings
  • #28 2015 draft pick (L.A. Clippers, via Boston)
  • 2016 first-round draft pick (Brooklyn, via Boston)
  • SF Gerald Wallace (expiring contract)

Detroit receives

  • #16 2015 draft pick (Boston)
  • PG Isaiah Thomas
  • SF Wilson Chandler
  • PF Jared Sullinger
  • PF/C Channing Frye
  • SF Moe Harkless

Orlando

  • PF Kenneth Faried

Major makeover all the way. Through this deal (or two deals, if the teams break it up for some reason), Detroit addresses several positional needs with veterans who will have an immediate impact. With the collection of shooters involved, all should work well in SVG's system.

With the #16, I'd Favor the Pistons going for Sam Dekker, Kelly Oubre, or Bobby Portis (in that order) if one of them is available. Let's say Dekker is there; that would be fine with me. In the second round, I'd look for CB Seville center and Twitter star (check out that sweet profile pic) Willy Hernangómez. SVG saw him on the Spain scouting trip - he plays with DBB lightning rod Kristaps Porzingis. In the game SVG saw, he had 9 pts/7 rbs in 22 minutes.

After an eventful draft, the Pistons are ready for the intrigue of free agency. It starts off with a bang in the first week as the Pistons and Pistons South the New Orleans Pelicans, fresh off hirings of new President of Basketball Operations Joe Dumars and head coach Jeff Van Gundy, agree to a sign-and-trade deal:

New Orleans receives

Detroit receives

  • SG Eric Gordon

Gordon won't opt out. The lure of free agency with the new TV deal, along with a lackluster 2014-2015, makes that a no-brainer. Despite it's size, the short length of the contract only helps the Pistons in light of the need to re-up with Andre.

After that, the Pistons likely focus on re-signing Reggie Jackson, probably at $13.5M/yr. They'll match any offer he receives.

At the same time or immediately afterward, they try to sign Drummond to a max extension; I think he declines, banking on cashing in next offseason with the new TV money and holding the pressure to improve over the Pistons's heads, or takes a full max in percentage, not absolute dollars. Finally, Anthony comes back for the vet minimum.

Opening-day lineup

PG: Reggie (~$13.5M)/Thomas ($6,912,869)/Dinwiddie ($845,059)

SG: KCP ($2,891,760)/Gordon ($15,514,031 - ETO)

SF: Chandler ($7,171,662)/Harkless ($2,894,059)/Dekker (~$1.5)/Miller ($981,348 - non-guaranteed)

PF: Sullinger ($2,269,260)/Frye ($8,193,029)/Tolliver ($3,000,000 - non-guaranteed)

C: Drummond ($3,272,091)/Frye/Anthony ($1,448,490)/Hernangómez ($845,059ish)

At $71,238,717 or thereabouts, the Pistons would be over the projected cap and yet comfortably under the luxury tax. If they can manage to re-sign Dre, perhaps they let Anthony go to make sure they're under the tax, but they should still have enough room.

Moreover, each position is locked in with a great combo of youth and experience. Thomas is the perfect combo/complimentary-change-of-pace guard for RJax, a role I doubt Jennings would have been completely comfortable with.

KCP will be pushed more by Gordon than he was by Meeks, with Gordon's extreme accuracy from outside getting him ample PT.

Chandler holds down the fort as Dekker develops - and maybe as Harkless matures before our eyes.

Sullinger can shoot from all over the court, and thrives as a third/fourth option with a serious center next to him.

Frye can back up Sully and Dre, and is almost certainly first big off the bench.

All in all, this would be the most successful offseason in a decade, IMO.

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