If I were a gambling man …

Everyone likes to make predictions before the start of the series, and after recording a podcast interview with Ryan McNeill of HoopsAddict.com this afternoon (look for it tomorrow), I’m officially on the record with “Pistons in six.”

I’m not much of a gambler these days (I learned my lesson in college), but if I were a gambling man, what would that prediction be worth? According to Bodog, 11/4 odds, meaning a $100 wager would pay out $275. For entertainment purposes only, of course, here are some other interesting odds in the series:

    Championship Odds

Odds to win the Championship

Los Angeles 13/10
Boston 7/4
Detroit 7/2
New Orleans 7/1
San Antonio 15/2

    Series Odds

Odds to win the Series
Boston Celtics -140
Detroit Pistons +120

Series Results – Detroit Pistons vs. Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics win 4-0 12/1
Boston Celtics win 4-1 7/2
Boston Celtics win 4-2 5/1
Boston Celtics win 4-3 5/2
Detroit Pistons win 4-0 12/1
Detroit Pistons win 4-1 15/2
Detroit Pistons win 4-2 11/4
Detroit Pistons win 4-3 11/2

Total Games in the Series
Over 6 ½ +175
Under 6 ½ -215

Where will the series be won?
TD Banknorth Garden -155
The Palace of Auburn Hills +125

Will the Boston Celtics win a road game in the series?
Yes -220
No +165

What will be the highest score by either team in the series?
Over 102 ½
Under 102 ½

What will be the lowest score by either team in the series?
Over 74 ½
Under 74 ½

Will Flip Saunders be fired if the Pistons lose the series?
Yes 10/1

    Boston Celtics Player Odds

Kevin Garnett Average Points
Over 19
Over 19

Paul Pierce Average Points
Over 18 ½
Under 18 ½

Ray Allen Average Points
Over 12 ½
Under 12 ½

What will Ray Allen’s 3 Point-Percentage be?
Over 29 ½
Under 29 ½

    Detroit Pistons Player Odds

Richard Hamilton Average Points
Over 19
Under 19

Chauncey Billups Average Points
Over 17 ½
Under 17 ½

Rasheed Wallace Average Points
Over 13 ½
Under 13 ½

    Head-to-Head Odds

Who will average more points in the series?
Chauncey Billups -6
Rajon Rondo +6

Who will average more assists per game in the series?
Chauncey Billups -2
Rajon Rondo +2

Who will make more three points shots in the series?
Rasheed Wallace +165
Ray Allen -205

Who will average more points in the series?
Rasheed Wallace -1
Ray Allen +1

Who will average more points per game in the series?
Richard Hamilton +115
Kevin Garnett -145

Who will average more minutes per game?
Eddie House
Sam Cassell

19 Responses to “If I were a gambling man …”


  1. 1 Brad Bice

    I don’t know, this is a hard series to read. There’s so many things that can go wrong for both sides. Chauncey’s an x-factor of course, but game 1 will most certainly tell the tale of the series.

    That’s not usually the case for the Playoffs. Things don’t usually heat up until game 3, especially if one team is up 2-0. But I suspect that Bos/Det will go into game 3 with the series tied 1-1, and if things go well, we’ll be fighting for our spot in the Finals in game 7 in Boston.

    (And by “we” I mean “they,” of course…)

  2. 2 Jason

    Interesting interviews w/ Pierce and Ray Allen.

    “we’ll probably be the underdog”

    ??

    http://www.necn.com/Boston/Sports/Paul-Pierce-Celtics-might-be-the-underdog-now/1211238943.html

  3. 3 LawyerBoy

    Woohoo! Join the Pistons in 6 party, Matt! You, me, Dash Rick, Henry Abbott, J.A. Adande, Chad Ford, Jalen “Why did I sign with the Suns last year?” Rose, Chris Sheridan & David Thorpe. Apologies to anyone on the record as Pistons in 6 I might have missed.

  4. 4 V

    Hey, LB, I don’t count anymore? I like the DPs in 6 too.

    Matt, thanks for putting up the thread…I got my line from Olympic last night, Bodog hadn’t put up futures yet, and for that matter, neither had Pinnacle (pinnaclesports.com).

    I’m going to take a hard look at the props tonight. I like that 11/4 number (+275) on the DPs in 6. I’m having dinner with a friend over at Wynn later…

    The bad news, is I think the Lakers are just going to be too much, even though Tay is a legit Kobe-stopper, they just have too much firepower all around this time. But, let’s get this series over with first.

  5. 5 Kyle

    ha, i’m pistons in six also. we win on the road. nuff said.

  6. 6 Diablo

    LB you missed me. haha.

  7. 7 LawyerBoy

    Amended Pistons in 6 list: Matt Watson, myself, Dash Rick, V, Kyle, Diablo, Henry Abbott, J.A. Adande, Chad Ford, Jalen “Why did I sign with the Suns last year?” Rose, Chris Sheridan & David Thorpe. That brings the total to 6 ESPN analysts and 6 DBBers. Any other takers?

  8. 8 LawyerBoy

    Tedwick is now on the Pistons in 6 train.

  9. 9 Mike Payne

    I haven’t weighed in yet, LB. Add me to that list, baby.

  10. 10 joejoejoe

    I see a lot of the same bad qualities I’ve seen in past Pistons teams in this Celtics team like not getting up for lesser opponents, and a lack of focus. I think all that will mostly disappear against a very good Pistons team on the road so homecourt mostly goes out the window in this series. I think the Pistons show they are narrowly better than Boston. The narrowest expression of that sentiment is a victory in a 7 game series, with Boston winning once in Detroit, Detroit winning twice in Boston.

  11. 11 Steve in OH

    I’m on the DP-in-6 bus, too - here’s how I see it unfolding…

    Game 1 - W
    Game 2 - L
    Game 3 - W
    Game 4 - W
    Game 5 - L
    Game 6 - W

  12. 12 queen james

    I think everyone is saying Pistons in 6 because they fear the 7th game in Boston, but I agree the Pistons must steal one of the first two.

  13. 13 J

    I’m also a Pistons-in-six believer, and specifically the same scenario as Steve in OH posted. I think we steal Game 1 — we’re fresh, hungry & rested, and the Celtics have to be exhausted mentally and physically. Our coaches have had a week to analyze & draw up plans for either the Celtics or Cavs (tho something tells me they probably spent a bit more time pondering the Celts), whereas they’ve had a single day after their grueling game 7 vs the Cleveland LeBrons.

  14. 14 Matt Watson

    Add Brett Edwards of FanHouse to the “Pistons in six” club.

  15. 15 LawyerBoy

    QJ: A 7th game in Boston (if the Celtics should be so lucky, which I know they won’t) would end up having the same result as the 7th game in Miami in 2004-2005; I have no doubt.

  16. 16 Quick Darshan

    Steve in OH seems to be following the Miami over Detroit pattern from a couple years back. Which I think could apply here. Favored team coming off a seven game series against a rested, hungry team.

  17. 17 Boney

    LawyerBoy,

    Add me to Pistons in 6. But only if we agree to disagree with Rip… if he handles his business this series, then I’ll drop my hateful words.

    Regards,
    Boney

  18. 18 LawyerBoy

    Boney: You’ve won me over with your support over at PiaB (what constitutes a beast really?). It’s time for Pistons fans to unite, even though Rip is my favorite and I tend to defend his honor pretty vigilantly. I don’t expect him to drop 30 even once in this series, but I expect him to play solidly. I hope that’s enough for you.

    *updated* Pistons in 6 list: Matt Watson, myself, Dash Rick, V, Kyle, Diablo, tedwick, Mike Payne, Steve in OH, J, Boney, Henry Abbott, J.A. Adande, Chad Ford, Jalen “Why did I sign with the Suns last year?” Rose, Chris Sheridan & David Thorpe. We’re now at 11 DBBers, 6 ESPNers.

  19. 19 LawyerBoy

    Apologies to Scouts Inc.’s Mike Moreau who brings it to 7 ESPNers (and Sean W.? Who I thank for the hat tip regardless of if he is in agreement, of which I’m not sure. If so, it’s now 12 DBBers.)

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