NBA 3-on-3 tournament: Pistons vs. Magic

You might remember us polling you back on August 29 to vote for the third Pistons player to round out a hypothetical Pistons 3-on-3 team. Jonas Jerebko (unofficially) won that vote and thus, joined Greg Monroe and Rodney Stuckey at the dot com mock 3-on-3 NBA tournament.

As an update, the Pistons' 3-on-3 squad were unceremoniously given a No. 11 seed in the tournament and matched up with the Orlando Magic's 3-on-3 team -- Arron Afflalo, Jameer Nelson and Gustavon Ayon! -- in the first round of the tournament.

That match up took place today, but before giving you the results, here's how the experts saw it playing out:

Tom Ziller, SB Nation NBA, Sactown Royalty -- Detroit wins 14 of 20

Andrew Sharp, SB Nation NBA -- Detroit wins 13 of 20

Steve Perrin, SB Nation NBA, Clips Nation -- Detroit wins 16 of 20

Frank Madden, Brew Hoop -- Detroit wins 13 of 20

Adam Francis, Raptors HQ -- Detroit wins 13 of 20

Overall probabilities -- Orlando 31 percent; Detroit 69 percent

BOTTOM LINE: The panel has the 11th-seeded Pistons at 69 percent to win any single game with the Magic, but that's not an upset so much as a commentary on the sad state of the Magic. The Pistons are going to be a mess next season -- but they're in much better shape than the Magic.

Results should be posted shortly, with the winner advancing to play the Pacers' 3-on-3 winning bunch of Danny Granger, Paul George and Lance Stephenson.

UPDATE: Pistons win!

In Tuesday's 6-11 matchups, both 11 seeds advanced. In the Eastern Conference, the 11th-seeded Detroit Pistons, featuring Rodney Stuckey, Jonas Jerebko and Greg Monroe, knocked off Jameer Nelson, Arron Afflalo and Gustavo Ayon of the Orlando Magic. However, this one wasn't really an upset -- at least not according to our panel of experts, who gave Orlando just a 31 percent chance of taking advantage of the better seeding (meaning the Magic wanted rolls of 31 or less). The dice came up 84 and 45, giving Detroit a two-game sweep. The Pistons move on to the second round, where they will face the Pacers.