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DBB on 3: 2019-20 Pistons season over/unders

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The DBB staff has higher hopes for the Pistons than Vegas, but how much higher?

Milwaukee Bucks v Detroit Pistons - Game Four Photo by Brian Sevald/NBAE via Getty Images

1. The latest over/over under has the Pistons at 37.5 (after starting at 35.5). Obviously we’re all still betting the over. What do you think the most accurate Pistons o/u would be?

Lazarus Jackson: 39.5. I can understand being lower on the Pistons if your thinking is just “Blake and Reggie won’t play that many games again,” but I think 39.5 respects what the Pistons could accomplish if those guys DO play that many games again. I would still bet the over on 39.5, but I wouldn’t feel as good about it.

Ben Gulker: If I were a betting man, an over/under around 43 is where I would start to feel a little anxious, and that’s only because of health. There’s an imperfect but winning team here.

Brady Fredericksen: I think .500 is a good starting point. The team is more talented now than it was a season ago, when it won 41 games. I think you have to bake in SOME skepticism when it comes to health. Are we going to get 75 games out of Blake Griffin this season? I sure hope so, but it’s fair to expect him to play less. Can Reggie Jackson grind through 82 games again? Can Derrick Rose get to 60-65 games? There’s no question the Pistons have a better roster now than they did 4 months ago. The (fair) question is how will it hold up over the course of the season.

Justin Lambregtse: I would say 39.5. It’s clear that oddsmakers think the Pistons will be worse, so this would put them a bit higher than where they currently stand, but not over last year’s win total.

Ryan Pravato: 44. The Pistons are finally doing mediocrity right.

Steve Hinson: It’s probably the 37.5 that Vegas has it at now. Every fan thinks their team’s over/under is ridiculously low. But in the end, their over/under number winds up being pretty close to their season’s performance. Vegas isn’t generally in the business of giving away free money. Of course, it’s easy to see the Pistons surpassing that over/under. But it’s also not difficult to see them finishing below it.

David Fernandez: 40.5 is where I’d put the marker, but I completely understand why the bar is so “low.” Do I think Detroit got better this off-season? Yes, at almost every position of need. However, I am even more concerned this year with injuries, seeing how Detroit has three players (Griffin, Jackson and Rose) at crucial positions with injury histories, and if the Pistons miss any of these three (or god forbid, Drummond) for a prolonged period, I could see this team losing games by the dozens.

2. What are your top three additional over/under lines for the Pistons?

Lazarus Jackson:

O/U games played for Blake Griffin: 64.5
O/U PPG for Derrick Rose: 14.5
O/U Team three-point percentage: 35.4%

Ben Gulker:

Blake Griffin games played: 70.
Andre Drummond three-point attempts: 25.
Reggie Jackson minutes played: 2400. Luke Kennard hesitating instead of shooting: 1.5 per game.

Brady Fredericksen: I’d take under 75 games played for Griffin. I just think there’ll be another injury, plus more maintenance days to combat the threat of those dings lingering. I’d say over 13.5 points per game for Luke Kennard. I think he’s going to be leaned upon heavily and, without Wayne Ellington around, he’s going to have to carry the load as the top shooter on the team. I’d also take under 40 games played for Sekou Doumbouya. I just don’t think he’s ready and I don’t think the Pistons will NEED to throw him to the wolves early.

Justin Lambregtse:

Over/under the number of games Luke Kennard will start
Over/under the amount of blocks and steals combined for Andre Drummond
Over/under the number of games played by Blake Griffin

Ryan Pravato: Luke Kennard 16ppg

Steve Hinson:

Piston’s league ranking in TS: 24.5
Blake Griffin games played: 65.5
Andre Drummond trades: 0.5

(I’ll take the over on Blake, under on the other two)

David Fernandez:

Blake Griffin - games played - 69.5
Luke Kennard - three point attempts per game - 5.5
Derrick Rose - games played - 59.5

3. Outside of the Pistons, what other teams over/under number are you laying all of your money on?

Lazarus Jackson: As always, slap that Knicks under until it begs for mercy.

Ben Gulker: I’m taking the under on the Warriors winning 47 wins and an under on the Raptors at 45 wins.

Brady Fredericksen: I think I’ll take the over on 37 wins for the Kings. They were the quiet upstart in the West last year and I don’t think they got any worse this season. Sure, the Lakers are going to leapfrog them, but I think they’ll be better than the Thunder and could be on par with the Spurs depending on how that roster ages. There’s legitimate optimism and upside in Sacramento for the first time in over a decade, I’ll buy stock in that.

Justin Lambregtse: I would bet the over on the Thunder at 31 wins. I would also bet the over on the Kings at 37 wins, although I am more confident in the Thunder over.

Ryan Pravato: Hornets will win over 24 games. The Dwayne Bacon era has begun.

Steve Hinson: Over 25.5 wins for the Grizzlies. The Ja Morant, Brandon Clarke, and Jaren Jackson core should fit together terrifically and they have some nice pieces to complement them. I don’t see them with fewer than 30 wins.

David Fernandez: 3. Give me the under for Orlando at 40.5 games. It felt like they caught lightning in a bottle towards the end of last season and I don’t think they got much better this off-season.

***

What say you DBB? Questions for copy/paste are:

1. The latest over/over under has the Pistons at 37.5 (after starting at 35.5). Obviously we’re all still betting the over. What do you think the most accurate Pistons o/u would be?

2. What are your top three additional over/under lines for the Pistons?

3. Outside of the Pistons, what other teams over/under number are you laying all of your money on?

Here’s the line we were using for the league-wide over/under: